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State of States


   Weak trends in project   Core infrastructure ministries like Power, Housing & Urban   State Capital                                                 Some of the other states which have have shown stronger

                                                                                                                                                       growth (CAGR) in capital spending in the post-pandemic
 Affairs, Shipping, Railways, and Road Transport & Highways saw
 completions  their capital spending rising in the eleven months (Apr-Feb) of                                                                          period (FY22-25) compared to pre-pandemic levels (FY15-19),
 the previous fiscal on an annual basis. Ministry of Power saw its
                                                                                                                                                       are Maharashtra, Odisha, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
 capital spend rising at a blitzkrieg pace during the reporting
 The value of completed projects in 2024-25 came at a four-year   period. However, Road Transport & Highways spending grew by   Expenditure:
 low of Rs 4.78 lakh crore as compared to Rs 9.41 lakh crore in   only 1.3 per cent annually between April-February 2025 due to
 the previous year. The projects completed by the government   a slowdown in highway construction, which hit a seven-year
 fell at a steeper pace than those by the private sector.  low of around 7,000 km in 2024-25. The government prioritized   Trends and
 maintaining and upgrading existing roads over expanding
 highway capacity, reflecting a shift towards strengthening
 current infrastructure.
 Value of completed projects (Rs lakh crore)  Impacts
 Capital expenditure of key infrastructure
 ministries (Rs crore)
 10.00  9.41

 8.00  7.00  Ministry  April-  April-  y-o-y%
 6.55  6.61  3.58  February  February
 6.00  5.43  4.78  2025  2024
 3.00  2.97  2.83
 4.00  3.50  Ministry of Power   1031.4   13.7   7450.1
 3.32  2.47  he focus on capital expenditure, while ensuring orderly
 1.19  5.83  Ministry of Housing   27976.8   19652.0   42.4  T
 2.00  4.17  management of government finances, has been the
 3.56  3.64  & Urban Affairs
 2.12  2.31  2.31  hallmark of the Central Government’s policy for driving a
 0.00  Ministry of Shipping   1290.0   1145.6   12.6
 2018-19 2019-20  2020-21 2021-22  2022-23 2023-24 2024-25  synchronic growth and financial stability in the economy. But
 Ministry of Railways   229317.8   219030.9   4.7  for growth to be sustained, it is pivotal that states also support
 Government  Private Sector  Overall  Ministry of Road   241261.0   238074.1   1.3  the Centre’s effort in asset creation and enhance the overall
 Transport & Highways  productive capacity of the economy.
 Source: CMIE Capex database
 Department of    10823.5   13327.9   -18.8
 Atomic Energy
 Ministry of New &   3.3   5.8   -42.4  50-YEAR INTEREST-FREE LOANS TO STATES
 Renewable Energy
   Trends in capital expenditure   Department of   12115.7   49214.8   -75.4  HAVE ENCOURAGED CAPITAL INVESTMENTS  However, in FY25 (April-February), capital expenditure by state
 by the government  Telecommunications  79.4   680.3   -88.3  In view of its critical importance, the Union government has   governments has slowed.  Numbers indicate a 4.8 per cent
 Ministry of Civil Aviation
                                                                year-on-year drop in the first eleven months of the current
 Total capital expenditure    811887.0   805613.0   0.8  been incentivising the states to increase their capex through a   fiscal year, suggesting a slowdown in asset creation. States are
 Analysing the capex trends of the government of India based on   scheme for Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment   seemingly diverting their resources to fund revenue
 data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) show   Source: CGA  wherein it provided 50-years interest free capital expenditure   expenditure at the cost of project implementation, potentially
 that the total capital expenditure for the period April-February   loans to states. In 2022-23 the provision for loans under this   impacting long term infrastructure development. This also
 2025 grew at a modest 0.8 per cent on an annual basis, reaching   To improve the efficiency of capital expenditure, CII   scheme was Rs 1 lakh crore, which was increased to Rs 1.3   follows a pattern of slowdown in capex and a pause by the
 Rs 8.12 lakh crore. This accounts for 79.7 per cent of the revised   recommends that the Government should maintain or increase   lakh crore in 2023-24 and further to Rs 1.5 lakh crore in   Centre which is largely due to general election held in the first
 estimate for 2024-25, compared to 84.8 per cent in 2023-24. As a   its capital spending trajectory. Furthermore, it should prioritise   2024-25 and 2025-26. The aim is to catalyze capital   half of FY25 and adverse weather conditions including natural
 result, there is anticipation of a slight undershooting of the revised   capital projects based on the following criteria:   expenditure among states and strengthen core infrastructure   disasters of severe nature in some states.
 capex target of Rs 10.2 lakh crore set for 2024-25.   across the nation. The interest-free loans from the Centre
 • Higher growth multiplier  have contributed, in a major way, to helping the states increase
 The pace of capital expenditure during the first half of the financial   • Rate of return on capital employed  their capex.   JHARKHAND HAS SEEN THE HIGHEST CAGR
 year 2024-25 was impacted by the national elections and the   • Potential for asset monetization  GROWTH OF 36 PER CENT IN CAPEX
 implementation of the model code of conduct.  • Time required to obtain regulatory clearances   In fact, a review of the finances of 17 major states during the   SPENDING BETWEEN FY22-25
        last five years has shown that following the economic
 • Impact on reducing of ‘Cost of Doing Business’  slowdown and the COVID-19 pandemic, state governments
 According to CII’s analysis of capital sending by nine key     An analysis of individual states in the post pandemic period,
 infrastructure ministries, their combined expenditure declined by   significantly increased their capital expenditure (Capex)   over the last four years, throws up a few surprises. For
 3.2 per cent to Rs 0.52 lakh crore between April-February FY25   In addition, to boost private investments in the economy, the   starting in FY2022.  example, Jharkhand experienced the highest cumulative
 as compared to Rs 0.54 lakh crore in the corresponding period   government may consider launching a cohesive and integrated   compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in capital expenditure
 last year. This decline was primarily due to a significant reduction in   trade, investment and industrial policy. Aligning foreign trade,   The state capex recorded a whopping 34.1 per cent growth in   among all states, reaching 36 per cent between FY22 and FY25.
 spending by Ministries such as Civil Aviation, Telecommunications,   FDI, domestic investment and industrial policies will help in   FY22 (April-February) after having been in the red in FY21
 New & Renewable energy and Atomic Energy.  leveraging the significant synergies between these sectors and   (April-February). The state capex continued to grow at 14.2
 thereby enhance both the consistency and efficiency of   per cent in FY23 (April-February) and again to 34.2 per cent in   This growth surpasses the 27 per cent CAGR observed in the
 governmental initiatives, providing a more favourable   FY24 (April-February). In fact, the state capex has more than   state between FY15 and FY19, before the pandemic. No doubt,
 MINISTRY OF POWER REPORTED A   environment for investment.  An independent nodal agency   doubled from Rs 2.48 lakh crore in FY21 to Rs 5.11 lakh crore   this has come over a low base, but a whopping rise in capex
 SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ITS CAPITAL   should be appointed under the Ministry of Finance to   in FY24. This increase, along with the central government's   between FY22-24, which somewhat moderated in FY25, shows
 EXPENDITURE IN FY25  implement the integrated policy, as this Ministry oversees the   significant capex growth during the period, acted as a key   that Jharkhand has invested significantly in asset creation in the
 management of central government finances  driver for economic growth.  post pandemic period.

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