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Domestic Trends


 FY25 Capex   However, despite the strong momentum in the final quarter,   the private sector amounted to Rs 26.8 lakh crore, whereas
        total new announcements for 2024-25 grew by just 2.1 per
                                                                new project announcements by the government sector
        cent to stand at Rs 38.3 lakh crore, with government proposals
                                                                totalled Rs 11.5 lakh crore for full year FY25. The government's
 Trends:   increasing by 41.7 per cent and private sector investments   capex plans were subdued due to the April-May national
        contracting by 8.8 per cent. New project announcements by
                                                                elections but gained momentum from Q2FY25.

 Government                    50.00         New project announcements (Rs lakh crore)  38.28


                                                                      41.10
                                                                              37.49
 Investments Rise              40.00   19.40  20.24           25.13   32.28   29.38  26.79
                               30.00

 Post-Elections                20.00  10.23   9.07    7.42    15.87   8.82    8.11   11.49
                                                      12.76
                               10.00
                                              11.18
                                      9.18
                                                              9.25
                                                      5.34
                                0.00
                                     2018-19  2019-20  2020-21  2021-22  2022-23  2023-24  2024-25
                                              Government   Private sector  Overall
                              Source: CMIE Capex database


 Key      AMONG THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR, METALS                       Sector-wise new project announcement
          AND CHEMICALS SECTOR LED NEW
 Takeaways  INVESTMENTS IN FY25                                                   (Rs lakh crore)
                                                                                               2023-24   2024-25
        On the sectoral front, 41 per cent of the overall new project
   India's investments saw a significant boost from     On the sectoral front, from the manufacturing   announcements in 2024-25 came from the manufacturing   Manufacturing    37.4   38.2
 high-cost government projects mainly in the   sector, metals and chemical sectors led new   sector, particularly from Metals and Chemicals sector.   Metals & metal products    2.4   5.2
 power sector in Q4FY25, leading to record new   investments in 2024-25.  Electricity and services (other than financial) sector accounted
 project announcements totalling Rs 18.88 lakh   for 36 per cent and 18 per cent of the new project   Chemicals & chemical products    5.8   5.1
 crore, with substantial contributions from both     The value of completed projects in 2024-25   announcements, respectively.   Machinery    3.5   2.2
 the private and government sectors.  came at a four-year low of Rs 4.78 lakh crore
 as compared to Rs 9.41 lakh crore in the   Within the services sector (other than financial), nearly 78 per   Transport equipment    1.0   1.5
   However, despite the strong momentum in the   previous year.  cent of the new project announcements were concentrated in   Electricity    11.7   13.6
 final quarter, total new announcements for   the transport services sector, while another 11 per cent came
 2024-25 grew by just 2.1 per cent to stand at Rs     To further boost private investments in the   from the information technology sector.   Services (other than financial)   8.9   7.0
 38.3 lakh crore, with government proposals   economy, the government may consider   Transport services    7.3   5.4
 increasing by 41.7 per cent and private sector   launching a cohesive and integrated trade,
 investments contracting by 8.8 per cent.  investment and industrial policy.  Sector-wise share in overall  Information technology    0.7   0.8
             new project announcements in 2024-25 (%)
                                                                   Note: The sum of sub-sectors does not equal the overall total because
                             Construction & real                   only key sub-sectors are reported.
                                estate 5%
               Services
 A n analysis of capex trends from CMIE (data extracted as   A POWER-FUL SPIKE IN NEW INVESTMENTS   financial) 18%  Source: CMIE Capex database
               (other than
 on 5th April, 2025) indicates that India’s investments
 received a significant boost from high-cost government   IN Q4FY25 LED PRIMARILY BY THE
 projects in the quarter ending March 2025, providing a   GOVERNMENT SECTOR  Manufacturing
 potential last-minute push after a slow year. Consequently, new   41%
 project announcements increased to Rs 18.88 lakh crore in the   Government sector new project announcements soared to a high
 fourth quarter of FY25, establishing a record for the highest   of Rs 5.9 lakh crore in Q4FY25 from Rs 1.5 lakh crore in Q3FY25
 quarterly investment proposals to date. Within this aggregate,   and Rs 2.8 lakh crore in Q4FY24. The power sector remained a
 private sector new investment announcements rose to Rs 12.9   dominant driver of new investment proposals, with
 lakh crore in Q4FY25 from Rs 6.8 lakh crore in Q3FY25 and   announcements totalling Rs 8.8 trillion in the quarter ending March   Electricity
 Rs 12.5 lakh crore in Q4FY24.  2025. A standout contribution came from NTPC, which unveiled   36%
 three largest projects  in the power sector during the quarter.  Mining
 1
                                   0%
            Source: CMIE Capex database
 Madhya Pradesh Renewable Energy Project, NTPC Green Energy (NGEL), Chhattisgarh Nuclear Power Plant Project
 1
 30  QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS                                                        QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS  31
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