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State of States


          Weak trends in project                                Core infrastructure ministries like Power, Housing & Urban     State Capital                                                                                                                                  Some of the other states which have have shown stronger

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              growth (CAGR) in capital spending in the post-pandemic
                                                                Affairs, Shipping, Railways, and Road Transport & Highways saw
           completions                                          their capital spending rising in the eleven months (Apr-Feb) of                                                                                                                                               period (FY22-25) compared to pre-pandemic levels (FY15-19),
                                                                the previous fiscal on an annual basis. Ministry of Power saw its
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              are Maharashtra, Odisha, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
                                                                capital spend rising at a blitzkrieg pace during the reporting
        The value of completed projects in 2024-25 came at a four-year   period. However, Road Transport & Highways spending grew by   Expenditure:
        low of Rs 4.78 lakh crore as compared to Rs 9.41 lakh crore in   only 1.3 per cent annually between April-February 2025 due to
        the previous year. The projects completed by the government   a slowdown in highway construction, which hit a seven-year
        fell at a steeper pace than those by the private sector.  low of around 7,000 km in 2024-25. The government prioritized   Trends and
                                                                maintaining and upgrading existing roads over expanding
                                                                highway capacity, reflecting a shift towards strengthening
                                                                current infrastructure.
             Value of completed projects (Rs lakh crore)                                                                       Impacts
                                                                       Capital expenditure of key infrastructure
                                                                                ministries (Rs crore)
         10.00                               9.41

          8.00                         7.00                        Ministry          April-     April-   y-o-y%
               6.55              6.61        3.58                                    February   February
          6.00       5.43                          4.78                              2025       2024
               3.00              2.97  2.83
          4.00             3.50                                    Ministry of Power   1031.4   13.7     7450.1
                     3.32                          2.47                                                                            he focus on capital expenditure, while ensuring orderly
                           1.19              5.83                  Ministry of Housing   27976.8   19652.0   42.4              T
          2.00                         4.17                                                                                        management of government finances, has been the
               3.56              3.64                              & Urban Affairs
                     2.12  2.31                    2.31                                                                        hallmark of the Central Government’s policy for driving a
          0.00                                                     Ministry of Shipping   1290.0   1145.6   12.6
              2018-19 2019-20  2020-21 2021-22  2022-23 2023-24 2024-25                                                        synchronic growth and financial stability in the economy. But
                                                                   Ministry of Railways   229317.8   219030.9   4.7            for growth to be sustained, it is pivotal that states also support
                  Government  Private Sector  Overall              Ministry of Road   241261.0   238074.1   1.3                the Centre’s effort in asset creation and enhance the overall
                                                                   Transport & Highways                                        productive capacity of the economy.
           Source: CMIE Capex database
                                                                   Department of     10823.5    13327.9   -18.8
                                                                   Atomic Energy
                                                                   Ministry of New &   3.3      5.8      -42.4                   50-YEAR INTEREST-FREE LOANS TO STATES
                                                                   Renewable Energy
          Trends in capital expenditure                            Department of     12115.7    49214.8   -75.4                  HAVE ENCOURAGED CAPITAL INVESTMENTS                   However, in FY25 (April-February), capital expenditure by state
           by the government                                       Telecommunications  79.4     680.3    -88.3                 In view of its critical importance, the Union government has   governments has slowed.  Numbers indicate a 4.8 per cent
                                                                   Ministry of Civil Aviation
                                                                                                                                                                                       year-on-year drop in the first eleven months of the current
                                                                   Total capital expenditure    811887.0   805613.0   0.8      been incentivising the states to increase their capex through a   fiscal year, suggesting a slowdown in asset creation. States are
        Analysing the capex trends of the government of India based on                                                         scheme for Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment   seemingly diverting their resources to fund revenue
        data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) show   Source: CGA                                           wherein it provided 50-years interest free capital expenditure   expenditure at the cost of project implementation, potentially
        that the total capital expenditure for the period April-February                                                       loans to states. In 2022-23 the provision for loans under this   impacting long term infrastructure development. This also
        2025 grew at a modest 0.8 per cent on an annual basis, reaching   To improve the efficiency of capital expenditure, CII   scheme was Rs 1 lakh crore, which was increased to Rs 1.3   follows a pattern of slowdown in capex and a pause by the
        Rs 8.12 lakh crore. This accounts for 79.7 per cent of the revised   recommends that the Government should maintain or increase   lakh crore in 2023-24 and further to Rs 1.5 lakh crore in   Centre which is largely due to general election held in the first
        estimate for 2024-25, compared to 84.8 per cent in 2023-24. As a   its capital spending trajectory. Furthermore, it should prioritise   2024-25 and 2025-26. The aim is to catalyze capital   half of FY25 and adverse weather conditions including natural
        result, there is anticipation of a slight undershooting of the revised   capital projects based on the following criteria:   expenditure among states and strengthen core infrastructure   disasters of severe nature in some states.
        capex target of Rs 10.2 lakh crore set for 2024-25.                                                                    across the nation. The interest-free loans from the Centre
                                                                 • Higher growth multiplier                                    have contributed, in a major way, to helping the states increase
        The pace of capital expenditure during the first half of the financial   • Rate of return on capital employed          their capex.                                              JHARKHAND HAS SEEN THE HIGHEST CAGR
        year 2024-25 was impacted by the national elections and the   • Potential for asset monetization                                                                                 GROWTH OF 36 PER CENT IN CAPEX
        implementation of the model code of conduct.             • Time required to obtain regulatory clearances               In fact, a review of the finances of 17 major states during the   SPENDING BETWEEN FY22-25
                                                                                                                               last five years has shown that following the economic
                                                                 • Impact on reducing of ‘Cost of Doing Business’              slowdown and the COVID-19 pandemic, state governments
        According to CII’s analysis of capital sending by nine key                                                                                                                     An analysis of individual states in the post pandemic period,
        infrastructure ministries, their combined expenditure declined by                                                      significantly increased their capital expenditure (Capex)   over the last four years, throws up a few surprises. For
        3.2 per cent to Rs 0.52 lakh crore between April-February FY25   In addition, to boost private investments in the economy, the   starting in FY2022.                           example, Jharkhand experienced the highest cumulative
        as compared to Rs 0.54 lakh crore in the corresponding period   government may consider launching a cohesive and integrated                                                    compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in capital expenditure
        last year. This decline was primarily due to a significant reduction in   trade, investment and industrial policy. Aligning foreign trade,   The state capex recorded a whopping 34.1 per cent growth in   among all states, reaching 36 per cent between FY22 and FY25.
        spending by Ministries such as Civil Aviation, Telecommunications,   FDI, domestic investment and industrial policies will help in   FY22 (April-February) after having been in the red in FY21
        New & Renewable energy and Atomic Energy.                leveraging the significant synergies between these sectors and   (April-February). The state capex continued to grow at 14.2
                                                                 thereby enhance both the consistency and efficiency of        per cent in FY23 (April-February) and again to 34.2 per cent in   This growth surpasses the 27 per cent CAGR observed in the
                                                                 governmental initiatives, providing a more favourable         FY24 (April-February). In fact, the state capex has more than   state between FY15 and FY19, before the pandemic. No doubt,
           MINISTRY OF POWER REPORTED A                          environment for investment.  An independent nodal agency      doubled from Rs 2.48 lakh crore in FY21 to Rs 5.11 lakh crore   this has come over a low base, but a whopping rise in capex
           SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ITS CAPITAL                   should be appointed under the Ministry of Finance to          in FY24. This increase, along with the central government's   between FY22-24, which somewhat moderated in FY25, shows
           EXPENDITURE IN FY25                                   implement the integrated policy, as this Ministry oversees the   significant capex growth during the period, acted as a key   that Jharkhand has invested significantly in asset creation in the
                                                                 management of central government finances                     driver for economic growth.                             post pandemic period.

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